Evansville Central
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #60
Brown County Semi-State Rank #14
Pike Central Regional Rank #5
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.4%
Advance to Semi-State 90.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite State Preview Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/1 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 669 701 778 676 700 648 683 851 783
Team Adjusted Rating 581 526 588 700 648 683 851 783
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Boonville Invitational Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite State Preview Eagle Classic Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
133  Nolan King 12 16:45 16:33 16:24 16:41 17:15 16:23 16:53 16:59 16:39
461  Marc Pierre 12 17:40 17:01 17:07 17:19 17:24 17:37 17:35 17:33 18:26 17:48 18:25
551  Logan Schapker 11 17:48 17:49 17:46 17:45 17:22 17:15 17:41 17:58 18:04 17:48 18:16
569  Blake Podewils 12 17:50 17:50 17:56 17:19 17:41 17:57 18:05 17:57 18:25 17:55 17:40
877  Landen Schapker 11 18:19 17:55 17:48 17:24 18:19 18:00 18:09 19:05 19:10
George Xiao 11 19:45 19:17 18:19 19:26 19:58 20:08
Cooper Nurrenbern 10 20:53 20:50 20:59 20:00 20:47 22:13 21:27 20:14 20:30 21:22
Daniel Hartz 10 21:37 21:06 21:53 20:59 20:59 22:34 21:18 22:58
Michael Beaven 12 22:09 22:13 21:36 23:32 21:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.4% 23.5 579 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
Semi-State 90.1% 13.2 332 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.1 5.5 7.5 11.3 14.6 16.8 15.5 7.4 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.1 100 4.6 8.9 16.2 25.5 34.9 9.7 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.8 72 5.0 16.1 70.6 8.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan King 24.3% 96.0 24.0% 24.2%
Marc Pierre 0.4% 159.5 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Schapker 0.4% 170.0 0.0% 0.0%
Blake Podewils 0.4% 172.0 0.0% 0.0%
Landen Schapker 0.4% 195.2 0.0% 0.0%
George Xiao 0.4% 206.1 0.0% 0.0%
Cooper Nurrenbern 0.4% 207.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan King 100% 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.4 5.5 5.6 100.0% 100.0%
Marc Pierre 98.8% 83.9 87.9% 95.8%
Logan Schapker 95.3% 95.9 52.3% 83.0%
Blake Podewils 94.5% 97.6 44.9% 79.5%
Landen Schapker 90.1% 135.6 0.1% 6.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan King 100% 3.5 0.1 5.5 25.8 37.9 15.4 7.3 3.9 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Marc Pierre 100% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.5 4.8 6.5 7.1 8.3 7.3 8.4 7.4 6.9 6.6 5.4 4.8 4.1 3.7 3.1 100.0%
Logan Schapker 100% 22.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.7 4.2 5.1 5.8 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.2 6.3 5.8 5.4 100.0%
Blake Podewils 100% 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.2 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.0 6.3 6.3 6.2 5.7 100.0%
Landen Schapker 100% 40.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 99.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan King 2.6 0.1 7.0 67.0 15.0 6.0 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
Marc Pierre 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 5.2 9.0 12.0 14.9 16.2 14.1 10.3 6.5 3.5 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Logan Schapker 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.3 4.3 6.8 10.7 13.3 15.4 14.2 11.2 7.8 4.8 3.1 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2
Blake Podewils 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.3 5.3 9.0 11.9 15.0 15.3 12.6 9.2 6.1 3.7 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2
Landen Schapker 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 3.9 5.9 7.6 8.5 9.7 10.5 10.0